I was going through my past articles and I wrote this one in November of 2010. It is interesting to read and realize we have come a long way…and then again…not so much. Below I have italicized the “latest” for your perusal.
Almost 100 years ago we were weighing the pros and cons of electric cars versus gasoline powered cars. We were beginning to get better roads and wanted to go further and faster than the electric cars of the time would allow. The peak of the electric car was reached in 1912. At that time an electric roadster sold for $1,750, while a gasoline car sold for $650. Seems we have come full circle.
Here is a list of concerns that consumers currently have about purchasing an alternative vehicle:
- Batteries are toxic and concerns have been raised about landfills overflowing with corrosive and carcinogenic materials found in used batteries.
- Drivers are having “range anxiety” as they aren’t used to considering how many miles they can drive before they have to recharge.
- Electric cars are expensive compared to their gasoline fueled counterparts.
- Consumers are concerned that if they purchase an electric or hybrid car now before they are “proven” they may be stuck with an obsolete vehicle.
- Currently it takes hours to recharge when consumers are used to minutes to refuel at the pump.
What are the “gurus” saying?
The gurus are saying that the sales of alternative vehicles will be slow. Hybrids/electrics may reach 3.2 million in sales by 2015. China is predicted to have 27% of the sales followed by the United States at 26%. By 2020 one in ten new cars in Europe will be electric and one in ten new cars will be hybrid. Only time will tell.
Times are changing quickly and those in technology are working hard. Many feel positive that we can overcome the challenges by recycling the batteries and have charging systems that take minutes instead of hours. It is difficult at best to forecast the future and a down economy doesn’t help.
Just remember, the car did eventually replace the horse as our chief form of transportation.
Last year, with 1,223,600 EVs sold globally, a 58 percent sales increase was reached over 2016. China led the way for battery electric and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales with a 73 percent growth surge last year. However, that still only represented 1.3 percent of total global new passenger vehicle sales last year. April 30, 2018.
Wikipedia: The fleet of hybrid electric vehicles in the United States, with over 4 million units sold through April 2016, is the second largest in the world after Japan (over 5 million). American sales of hybrid electric vehicles represent about 36% of the more than 11 million hybrids sold worldwide through April 2016. Since their inception in 1999, a total of 4,058,258 hybrid electric automobiles and sport utility vehicles have been sold in the country through May 2016. Sales of hybrid vehicles in the U.S. began to decline following the financial crisis of 2007–08, and after a short recovery, began to decline again in 2014 due to low gasoline prices. Hybrid sales in the American market achieved its highest market share ever in 2013, capturing 3.19% of new car sales that year, and dropped below 2% by April 2016.
As always, I’ll keep you posted!